- What it means
- Each shot gets a probability of becoming a goal based on location, shot type, rebounds, pre-shot passes and more. The sum shows how many goals a player or team "should" have scored.
- How it is calculated
xG = sum of goal probabilities of all shots; xGF% = xGF ÷ (xGF + xGA) × 100
- Example
- A shot from the slot is worth about 0.25 xG, a point shot about 0.03. Ten such shots add up to about 1.4 xG.
- What is good
- xGF% above 52% is good. Scoring more than your xG over several seasons points to a real finishing talent; less may be bad luck.